In a 1-1 draw against Manchester United on April 2, Leicester City had one of its most encouraging performances of the season, in a match that it easily should have won if not for a few questionable calls going against it. The Foxes will travel to King Power Stadium on Sunday to play Crystal Palace, who thrashed London rival Arsenal 3-0 at Selhurst Park on Monday.
With a successful finish to the season in the next eight games, Palace has a real opportunity of finishing in the top half of the table. It would be warranted at this stage, considering the Eagles’ favorable goal and anticipated goal differentials. They have been the far superior team, and despite being on the road, they are not given enough credit in the betting market.
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When you look at the stats, Crystal Palace has been far better at home than on the road. The home splits for Leicester, on the other hand, aren’t very outstanding. At home, Leicester allows 1.67 xGA but only concedes 1.14 goals per game.
Leicester’s desire to induce high turnovers will be exploited by Palace, who will not surrender to their defensive mistakes. Leicester City is a tiny favorite with -105 odds on the Draw No Bet wager, according to my estimate.